Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bischofswerdaer vs Arnstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Lisinski R.
71' Event
Messing D.
81' Event
Rodrigues M.

AI Match Summary

Bischofswerdaer in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bischofswerdaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bischofswerdaer
15%
Draws
64%
Arnstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Arnstadt haven't matched Bischofswerdaer's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bischofswerdaer a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bischofswerdaer Clean Sheet 10%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bischofswerdaer Arnstadt
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.39 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Bischofswerdaer
0:6
Feb 3, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Arnstadt
3:1
Jun 5, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Bischofswerdaer
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Arnstadt
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bischofswerdaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisinski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Messing D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bischofswerdaer 83 / 100
Arnstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bischofswerdaer Arnstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bischofswerdaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnstadt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Bischofswerdaer found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Arnstadt lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bischofswerdaer VS Arnstadt
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Bischofswerdaer

(Home)
30 May
Bischofswerdaer
2 : 4
Plauen
17 May
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
09 May
Bischofswerdaer
0 : 1
Sandersdorf
02 May
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
26 Apr
Bischofswerdaer
1 : 3
Glauchau
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Arnstadt

(Away)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)