Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bischofswerdaer vs Motor Marienberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hofmann E.
22' Event
Lisinski R.
61' Event
Tanriver C.

AI Match Summary

Bischofswerdaer in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bischofswerdaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bischofswerdaer
20%
Draws
64%
Motor Marienberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motor Marienberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bischofswerdaer at 1.26 per game, Motor Marienberg at 1.1.
  • Model gives Bischofswerdaer a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bischofswerdaer Clean Sheet 68%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bischofswerdaer Motor Marienberg
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.26 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Bischofswerdaer
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bischofswerdaer vs Motor Marienberg
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bischofswerdaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Hofmann E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lisinski R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Motor Marienberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bischofswerdaer 50 / 100
Motor Marienberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bischofswerdaer Motor Marienberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bischofswerdaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Marienberg has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bischofswerdaer scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Motor Marienberg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bischofswerdaer VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bischofswerdaer

(Home)
30 May
Bischofswerdaer
2 : 4
Plauen
17 May
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
09 May
Bischofswerdaer
0 : 1
Sandersdorf
02 May
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
26 Apr
Bischofswerdaer
1 : 3
Glauchau
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Motor Marienberg

(Away)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)