Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistra vs Ponikve

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bistra
15%
Draws
48%
Ponikve
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bistra lately — more wins on the board than Ponikve.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bistra Clean Sheet 16%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistra Ponikve
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Ponikve
1:1
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Bistra
1:1
May 8, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Bistra
1:1
Oct 18, 2020 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Ponikve
1:1
Feb 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Ponikve vs Bistra
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistra 31 / 100
Ponikve 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistra Ponikve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponikve Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ponikve's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Bistra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistra VS Ponikve
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistra

(Home)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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Ponikve

(Away)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)