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Stadium Background

Bistrc vs Rudar Trbovlje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rudar Trbovlje in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rudar Trbovlje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bistrc
15%
Draws
36%
Rudar Trbovlje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistrc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rudar Trbovlje have won more games recently than Bistrc.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rudar Trbovlje here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%
Rudar Trbovlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrc Rudar Trbovlje
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Rudar Trbovlje
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Bistrc
5:2
Apr 26, 2025 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Bistrc
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Rudar Trbovlje
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrc 30 / 100
Rudar Trbovlje 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrc Rudar Trbovlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bistrc scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Rudar Trbovlje conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Rudar Trbovlje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistrc VS Rudar Trbovlje
1.6 Goals Scored 1
3.4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrc

(Home)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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Rudar Trbovlje

(Away)
03 Oct
Skofja Loka
3 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
13 Sept
Rudar Trbovlje
1 : 3
Dob
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)