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Bistrc vs Zidgrad Idrija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Bistrc Logo

Bistrc

3 - 3
FT
Zidgrad Idrija Logo

Zidgrad Idrija

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Bistrc and Zidgrad Idrija finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bistrc
20%
Draws
51%
Zidgrad Idrija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zidgrad Idrija come out ahead of Bistrc on wins alone.
  • Zidgrad Idrija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrc Zidgrad Idrija
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Zidgrad Idrija
3:3
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Bistrc
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrc 10 / 100
Zidgrad Idrija 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrc Zidgrad Idrija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Bistrc's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zidgrad Idrija let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Bistrc remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistrc VS Zidgrad Idrija
1.33 Goals Scored 1
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrc

(Home)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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Zidgrad Idrija

(Away)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)