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Bistrica vs Bilje

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Marsetic E.
48' Event
Marsetic E.
79' Event
Vidovic D.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Bistrica and Bilje finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bistrica
15%
Draws
42%
Bilje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%
Bilje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Bilje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
1:4
Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
May 3, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsetic E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vidovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bilje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 29 / 100
Bilje 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Bilje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bilje let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bistrica scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bilje registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS Bilje
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
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Bilje

(Away)
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
05 Sept
Bilje
4 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)