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Bistrica vs Bilje

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Marsetic E.
48' Event
Marsetic E.
79' Event
Vidovic D.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Bistrica and Bilje finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bistrica
39%
Draws
30%
Bilje
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 17%
Bilje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Bilje
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
May 3, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
1:1
May 19, 2024 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsetic E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vidovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bilje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 31 / 100
Bilje 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Bilje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bilje let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bistrica scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bilje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS Bilje
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818