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Bistrica vs Bilje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ikac L.
18' Event
Mendy B.
32' Event
Ozegovic V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bistrica
15%
Draws
28%
Bilje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bilje haven't matched Bistrica's recent run of results.
  • Bistrica are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Bistrica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bistrica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 16%
Bilje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Bilje
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 Slovenian Cup
Bistrica vs Bilje
4:3
Aug 22, 2026 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
1:4
Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Bilje
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0
May 3, 2025 2. SNL
Bilje vs Bistrica
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozegovic V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ikac L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bilje Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 66 / 100
Bilje 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Bilje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bilje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Bistrica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bistrica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS Bilje
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
06 Nov
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Bistrica
01 Nov
Bistrica
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
28 Oct
Jesenice
1 : 3
Bistrica
23 Oct
Bistrica
4 : 3
Bilje
17 Oct
Bistrica
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

Bilje

(Away)
31 Oct
Bilje
3 : 2
Tabor Sezana
27 Oct
Ilirija
3 : 0
Bilje
23 Oct
Bistrica
4 : 3
Bilje
17 Oct
Bilje
2 : 0
NK Krka
10 Oct
Beltinci
5 : 1
Bilje
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
NK Brezice 4
Aluminij 2
Triglav 2
Nafta 1
Tabor Sezana 1
Koper 0
Fuzinar 5
NK Carda Martjanci 1
NK Ormoz 1
Race 3
Podvinci 0
Radomlje 1
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Beltinci 5
Korotan Prevalje 0
Celje 2
Grad 0
Tolmin 3
SD Videm 0
Grosuplje 2
NK Velesovo 0
Bravo 7
Marjeta na Dravskem polju 2
Odranci 3
Turnisce 1
Dob 4
Bistrica 4
Bilje 3
Litija 0
Ljubljana Svoboda 1
Sencur 3
Krsko Posavje 2
1/8-finals
NK Brezice -
Triglav -
Tabor Sezana -
Fuzinar -
Race -
Radomlje -
Beltinci -
Celje -
Tolmin -
Grosuplje -
Bravo -
Odranci -
Dob -
Bistrica -
Ljubljana Svoboda -
Sencur -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -