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Stadium Background

Bistrica vs Rudar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Brumec D.
10' Event
Martic T.
14' Event
Zukic S.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Bistrica and Rudar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bistrica
15%
Draws
51%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rudar come out ahead of Bistrica on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Rudar
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Rudar
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Bistrica
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Rudar
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Bistrica
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Rudar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Brumec D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Zukic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 30 / 100
Rudar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistrica's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rudar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bistrica has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS Rudar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
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Rudar

(Away)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
28 Sept
Rudar
3 : 1
Dravinja
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)