Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistritsa vs CSKA Sofia III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Sat, May 23, 2026
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistritsa host CSKA Sofia III in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Bistritsa have averaged 1.07 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against CSKA Sofia III's 1.34 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Bistritsa have won 1 to CSKA Sofia III's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.10 - 2.31) back CSKA Sofia III to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bistritsa
20%
Draws
80%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia III a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSKA Sofia III here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs CSKA Sofia III
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Bistritsa
2:1
May 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Bistritsa
4:1
Nov 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs CSKA Sofia III
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 10 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia III conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Bistritsa's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bistritsa VS CSKA Sofia III
0 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistritsa

(Home)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Strumska Slava
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)