Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistritsa vs Gotse Delchev

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Bistritsa and Gotse Delchev finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistritsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bistritsa
15%
Draws
85%
Gotse Delchev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gotse Delchev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gotse Delchev come out ahead of Bistritsa on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gotse Delchev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bistritsa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Gotse Delchev Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa Gotse Delchev
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Gotse Delchev
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Bistritsa
0:5
Mar 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Bistritsa
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Gotse Delchev
3:0
May 28, 2022 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Bistritsa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 10 / 100
Gotse Delchev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa Gotse Delchev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotse Delchev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gotse Delchev conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Bistritsa scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Gotse Delchev has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistritsa VS Gotse Delchev
0 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistritsa

(Home)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

Gotse Delchev

(Away)
27 May
Gotse Delchev
1 : 2
Rilski Sportist
23 May
Balkan Botevgrad
4 : 0
Gotse Delchev
16 May
Gotse Delchev
2 : 1
Strumska Slava
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Gotse Delchev
4 : 2
Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)