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Bistritsa vs Gotse Delchev

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Bistritsa Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistritsa play Gotse Delchev in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bistritsa averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2 conceded. Gotse Delchev averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Bistritsa won 4, Gotse Delchev won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Bistritsa and 2.56 for Gotse Delchev. This points to a Bistritsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bistritsa
15%
Draws
40%
Gotse Delchev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistritsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bistritsa picked up more points recently compared to Gotse Delchev.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Gotse Delchev Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa Gotse Delchev
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.22 1.3
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Gotse Delchev
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Bistritsa
0:5
Mar 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Bistritsa
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Gotse Delchev
3:0
May 28, 2022 Third League - South-West
Gotse Delchev vs Bistritsa
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 43 / 100
Gotse Delchev 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa Gotse Delchev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bistritsa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bistritsa attacking → ← attacking Gotse Delchev

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Gotse Delchev let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Bistritsa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Gotse Delchev lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238