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Bistritsa vs Oborishte Panagyurishte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistritsa host Oborishte Panagyurishte in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Bistritsa at 1.07 goals for, 2.07 against; Oborishte Panagyurishte at 1.65 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Oborishte Panagyurishte slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.17 - 2.44) back Oborishte Panagyurishte to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bistritsa
15%
Draws
85%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oborishte Panagyurishte come out ahead of Bistritsa on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Oborishte Panagyurishte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa Oborishte Panagyurishte
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 1 8
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:3
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Bistritsa
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Bistritsa
0:0
Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 10 / 100
Oborishte Panagyurishte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa Oborishte Panagyurishte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oborishte Panagyurishte conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bistritsa scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Oborishte Panagyurishte registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistritsa VS Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistritsa

(Home)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Away)
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)