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Bistritsa vs Pirin Razlog

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Bistritsa host Pirin Razlog in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pirin Razlog have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Bistritsa have conceded 3 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Pirin Razlog slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.48 - 2.13) back Pirin Razlog to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bistritsa
6%
Draws
90%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pirin Razlog has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bistritsa.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pirin Razlog.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Pirin Razlog
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Bistritsa
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Bistritsa
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Pirin Razlog
1:2
Mar 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Bistritsa
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 10 / 100
Pirin Razlog 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa Pirin Razlog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Pirin Razlog let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bistritsa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Pirin Razlog lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistritsa VS Pirin Razlog
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238