Sport Picks
Bistritsa vs Septemvri Simitli
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia 
AI Match Summary
Bistritsa host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Septemvri Simitli have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Bistritsa have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Bistritsa slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 2.25, favoring Septemvri Simitli. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Septemvri Simitli come out ahead of Bistritsa on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bistritsa | Septemvri Simitli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Septemvri Simitli conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Bistritsa scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bistritsa
(Home)Septemvri Simitli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
