Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistritsa vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Thu, Apr 9, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistritsa host Septemvri Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Septemvri Sofia 2 have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Bistritsa have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Bistritsa slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 2.25, favoring Septemvri Sofia 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bistritsa
15%
Draws
85%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistritsa haven't matched Septemvri Sofia 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Sofia 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistritsa Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Septemvri Sofia 2
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Bistritsa
0:1
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Bistritsa
3:2
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:0
May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistritsa 10 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistritsa Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bistritsa's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Septemvri Sofia 2 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Septemvri Sofia 2's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistritsa VS Septemvri Sofia 2
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistritsa

(Home)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)