Sport Picks

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Bitonto vs A.C.D. Nardo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
De Giorgi F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Bitonto and A.C.D. Nardo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bitonto
20%
Draws
36%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bitonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of Bitonto on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors A.C.D. Nardo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 20%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitonto A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Bitonto
3:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Bitonto
3:0
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Bitonto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitonto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer De Giorgi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitonto 36 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitonto A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Bitonto's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

A.C.D. Nardo let in goals in 49% of their last 37 matches.

Recent resilience: Bitonto stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS A.C.D. Nardo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitonto

(Home)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
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A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)