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Bitonto vs Gelbison

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Croce A.
11' Event
Kosovan T.
70' Event
Kosovan T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Bitonto and Gelbison finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bitonto
15%
Draws
46%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gelbison carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gelbison are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 16%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitonto Gelbison
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gelbison
0:4
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Bitonto
1:0
Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gelbison
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Bitonto
1:1
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Gelbison
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitonto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosovan T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Croce A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitonto 23 / 100
Gelbison 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitonto Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gelbison Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Bitonto found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Gelbison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Bitonto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gelbison
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitonto

(Home)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
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Gelbison

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)