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Bitonto vs Lavello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Maffei C.
8' Event
Romano G.
31' Event
Figliolia S.

AI Match Summary

Bitonto in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bitonto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bitonto
15%
Draws
28%
Lavello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bitonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bitonto lately — more wins on the board than Lavello.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bitonto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 20%
Lavello Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitonto Lavello
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.84 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Lavello
2:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Bitonto
0:3
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Lavello
0:1
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Bitonto
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Bitonto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Maffei C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figliolia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitonto 42 / 100
Lavello 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitonto Lavello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Lavello's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bitonto found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Bitonto VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitonto

(Home)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
Page 1 of 7

Lavello

(Away)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)