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Bitonto vs Santa Maria Cilento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Palazzo L.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Figliolia S.
90'
D'Auria A.

AI Match Summary

Bitonto in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bitonto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bitonto
15%
Draws
34%
Santa Maria Cilento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bitonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bitonto have won more games recently than Santa Maria Cilento.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Maria Cilento Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitonto Santa Maria Cilento
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.73 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Santa Maria Cilento
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Santa Maria Cilento vs Bitonto
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Figliolia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Santa Maria Cilento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitonto 41 / 100
Santa Maria Cilento 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitonto Santa Maria Cilento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bitonto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria Cilento let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Maria Cilento's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bitonto scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bitonto VS Santa Maria Cilento
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitonto

(Home)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
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Santa Maria Cilento

(Away)
05 May
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3
A.C.D. Nardo
28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0
Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3
Santa Maria Cilento
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0
Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)