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Stadium Background

Bjelovar vs Kustosija

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Bjelovar Logo

Bjelovar

0 - 1
FT
Kustosija Logo

Kustosija

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Krizmanic T.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kustosija in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bjelovar
20%
Draws
23%
Kustosija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kustosija lately — more wins on the board than Bjelovar.
  • Model gives Bjelovar a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 68%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Kustosija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Kustosija
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Bjelovar
3:0
Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Bjelovar vs Kustosija
0:0
May 23, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Bjelovar
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Kustosija
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 95 / 100
Kustosija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Kustosija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjelovar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bjelovar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Kustosija has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS Kustosija
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjelovar

(Home)
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 6

Kustosija

(Away)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)