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Bjelovar vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Kocijancic N.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Bjelovar and Segesta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bjelovar
30%
Draws
32%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Segesta come out ahead of Bjelovar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bjelovar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Segesta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.62 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Segesta
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Bjelovar
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Bjelovar
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Segesta
2:0
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Bjelovar vs Segesta
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjelovar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocijancic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 38 / 100
Segesta 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjelovar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bjelovar found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Segesta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS Segesta
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjelovar

(Home)
22 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 4
Bjelovar
14 Aug
Bjelovar
2 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
08 Aug
Bjelovar
2 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
29 Jul
Granicar Djurdjevac
0 : 2
Bjelovar
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Segesta

(Away)
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
29 Jul
NK Krka
1 : 4
Segesta
24 Jul
Triglav
2 : 2
Segesta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)