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Bjelovar vs Varteks Varazdin (2011) Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Skrlec N.
28' Event
Nekic J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druga NL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bjelovar
20%
Draws
23%
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bjelovar have won more games recently than Varteks Varazdin (2011).
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Bjelovar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 20%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 15 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.64 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Druga NL
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Bjelovar
4:0
Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL North
Bjelovar vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4:1
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL North
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Bjelovar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nekic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Varteks Varazdin (2011) Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrlec N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 85 / 100
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Varteks Varazdin (2011)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varteks Varazdin (2011) conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bjelovar scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bjelovar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjelovar

(Home)
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
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Varteks Varazdin (2011)

(Away)
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Trnje 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
3 Dugo Selo 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
5 Solin 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
6 Uljanik Pula 7 3 2 2 14:15 11
7 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
8 Dragovoljac 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Radnik Krizevci 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 Zagora 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
11 Slavonija Pozega 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
12 Zapresic 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Grobnican 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
14 Lucko 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
15 NK Koprivnica 7 1 2 4 9:17 5
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
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