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BK Astrio vs Frolunda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mazreku A.
57' Event
Arvidsson G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
BK Astrio
20%
Draws
51%
Frolunda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frolunda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frolunda lately — more wins on the board than BK Astrio.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 10%
Frolunda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BK Astrio Frolunda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Frolunda
1:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs BK Astrio
5:3
Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs BK Astrio
5:1
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Frolunda
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Frolunda
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BK Astrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazreku A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Frolunda Compare

Top Goalscorer Arvidsson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BK Astrio 30 / 100
Frolunda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BK Astrio Frolunda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Frolunda has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

BK Astrio scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

BK Astrio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BK Astrio VS Frolunda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

BK Astrio

(Home)
04 Oct
BK Astrio
1 : 1
Frolunda
26 Sept
Galtabacks
3 : 6
BK Astrio
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Kongahalla
5 : 1
BK Astrio
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
Page 1 of 6

Frolunda

(Away)
04 Oct
BK Astrio
1 : 1
Frolunda
27 Sept
Frolunda
2 : 0
Astorps
20 Sept
Galtabacks
4 : 1
Frolunda
11 Sept
Dalstorps
3 : 0
Frolunda
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 24 17 3 4 42:19 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 47:26 46
3 Jonsereds 24 12 6 6 40:37 42
4 Hestrafors 24 12 5 7 48:39 41
5 Frolunda 24 10 7 7 45:39 37
6 Boljan 25 10 7 8 39:33 37
7 Lindome 25 11 4 10 47:43 37
8 Qviding 24 10 4 10 44:44 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 33:37 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 39:42 28
11 Kongahalla 24 7 6 11 35:45 27
12 Astorps 24 7 5 12 29:41 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 38:46 20
14 BK Astrio 24 2 4 18 22:57 10
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)