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BKS Sparta Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BKS Sparta Katowice play Gornik Zabrze II in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, BKS Sparta Katowice averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Gornik Zabrze II averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, BKS Sparta Katowice won 1, Gornik Zabrze II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for BKS Sparta Katowice and 1.44 for Gornik Zabrze II. This points to a BKS Sparta Katowice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
BKS Sparta Katowice
19%
Draws
38%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • BKS Sparta Katowice picked up more points recently compared to Gornik Zabrze II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 16%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKS Sparta Katowice Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.93 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Gornik Zabrze II
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs BKS Sparta Katowice
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulinski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Quainoo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKS Sparta Katowice 42 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKS Sparta Katowice Gornik Zabrze II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: BKS Sparta Katowice or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

BKS Sparta Katowice attacking → ← attacking Gornik Zabrze II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKS Sparta Katowice scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Gornik Zabrze II let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

BKS Sparta Katowice went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gornik Zabrze II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 47
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057