Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BKS Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sobolewski P.
53' Event
Michalski M.
59' Event
Bajerski K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between BKS Sparta Katowice and Karkonosze Jelenia Gora finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BKS Sparta Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
BKS Sparta Katowice
6%
Draws
4%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • BKS Sparta Katowice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • BKS Sparta Katowice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 18%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKS Sparta Katowice Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs BKS Sparta Katowice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolewski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michalski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajerski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKS Sparta Katowice 85 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKS Sparta Katowice Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKS Sparta Katowice scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: BKS Sparta Katowice remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

BKS Sparta Katowice VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Home)
18 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 2
Havirov
10 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 0
FK Frydek-Mistek
08 Jul
Tychy
2 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
04 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
5 : 1
Victoria Jaworzno
30 May
BKS Sparta Katowice
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
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Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

(Away)
11 Jul
Zaglebie II
0 : 4
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
08 Jul
Woliborz
3 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
04 Jul
Polkowice
1 : 3
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
23 May
Zielona Gora
4 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)