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BKS Sparta Katowice vs Skra Czestochowa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Sobolewski P.

AI Match Summary

BKS Sparta Katowice in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BKS Sparta Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
BKS Sparta Katowice
6%
Draws
4%
Skra Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • BKS Sparta Katowice have won more games recently than Skra Czestochowa.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on BKS Sparta Katowice taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and BKS Sparta Katowice have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 16%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKS Sparta Katowice Skra Czestochowa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Skra Czestochowa
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs BKS Sparta Katowice
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Skra Czestochowa vs BKS Sparta Katowice
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolewski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKS Sparta Katowice 84 / 100
Skra Czestochowa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKS Sparta Katowice Skra Czestochowa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skra Czestochowa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

BKS Sparta Katowice went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BKS Sparta Katowice scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

BKS Sparta Katowice VS Skra Czestochowa
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057