Sport Picks
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Africa
Nedbank Cup 2021/2022 Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou 
AI Match Summary
Free State Stars in this Nedbank Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Free State Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Black Leopards haven't matched Free State Stars's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Free State Stars's way, sitting at 50%.
- Free State Stars arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Free State Stars, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Black Leopards Clean Sheet 17%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Black Leopards | Free State Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.85 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Black Leopards
0:1
Dec 14, 2021 Nedbank Cup
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars
1:2
Oct 24, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Betway Premiership
Free State Stars vs Black Leopards
2:2
Oct 28, 2018 Betway Premiership
Black Leopards vs Free State Stars
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Black Leopards 23 / 100
Free State Stars 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Black Leopards Free State Stars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Free State Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Free State Stars let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Black Leopards's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Black Leopards went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Black Leopards VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Black Leopards
(Home) 17 May
Lerumo Lions
4 : 0 Black Leopards
10 May
Black Leopards
2 : 1 Venda
02 May
Kruger United
3 : 1 Black Leopards
25 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 1 Milford
21 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 0 The Bees
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10 May
Black Leopards
2 : 1 Venda
25 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 1 Milford
21 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 0 The Bees
11 Apr
Black Leopards
1 : 0 Pretoria U.
01 Apr
Black Leopards
0 : 0 Upington City
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Free State Stars
(Away) 15 May
Venda
1 : 1 Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1 Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2 Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1 Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0 Free State Stars
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15 May
Venda
1 : 1 Free State Stars
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2 Free State Stars
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0 Free State Stars
01 Apr
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
2 : 1 Free State Stars
15 Mar
Pretoria U.
3 : 1 Free State Stars
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Swallows FC -
TBD -
TS Sporting 3
JDR Stars 1
Royal AM -
TBD -
TBD -
Cape Town City -
Venda 3
Pretoria Callies 1
TBD -
African All Stars -
Pretoria U. 2
Hungry Lions 1
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Richards Bay 1
Polokwane City 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
NC Professionals -
TBD -
TBD -
Mathaithai -
Jomo Cosmos 0
Uthongathi 1
TBD -
Summerfield Dynamos -
Black Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivutsa -
Sinenkani -
TBD -
Black Leopards 1
Free State Stars 2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 2
Cape Town All Stars 1
TBD -
Golden Arrows -
Platinum City 3
Cape Town Spurs 2
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Supersport Utd -
Marumo Gallants -
TBD -
TBD -
Santos -
Orlando Pirates -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TBD -
TBD -
TS Galaxy -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Baroka -
1/16-finals
Swallows FC 2
TS Sporting 1
Royal AM 2
Cape Town City 1
Venda 3
African All Stars 1
Pretoria U. 2
Chippa Utd. 0
Richards Bay 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 4
NC Professionals 0
Mathaithai 2
Uthongathi 0
Summerfield Dynamos 1
Black Eagles 3
Sivutsa 2
Sinenkani 2
Free State Stars 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 2
Golden Arrows 1
Platinum City 2
Sekhukhune 1
Durban City 0
Supersport Utd 1
Marumo Gallants 2
Santos 0
Orlando Pirates 1
AmaZulu 0
Kaizer Chiefs 0
TS Galaxy 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Baroka 1
1/8-finals
Swallows FC 0
Royal AM 1
Venda 3
Pretoria U. 4
Mamelodi Sundowns 6
Mathaithai 0
Summerfield Dynamos 1
Black Eagles 0
Sinenkani 0
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 3
Platinum City 0
Supersport Utd 1
Marumo Gallants 2
Orlando Pirates 1
TS Galaxy 1
Baroka 2
Quarter-finals
Royal AM 3
Pretoria U. 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 5
Summerfield Dynamos 0
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 3
Supersport Utd 2
Marumo Gallants 1
Baroka 0
Semi-finals
Royal AM 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 0
Marumo Gallants 1
Final
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Marumo Gallants 1
