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Black Man Warrior vs Downtown

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Downtown in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Downtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Black Man Warrior
30%
Draws
29%
Downtown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Downtown at 1.19 per game, Black Man Warrior at 0.73.
  • Win probability leans Black Man Warrior's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 20%
Downtown Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Man Warrior Downtown
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.19
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 LFA First Division
Downtown vs Black Man Warrior
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Downtown
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Man Warrior 67 / 100
Downtown 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Man Warrior Downtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Black Man Warrior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Downtown let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Black Man Warrior has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Black Man Warrior scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Black Man Warrior VS Downtown
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Man Warrior

(Home)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Downtown

(Away)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
14 May
Downtown
1 : 0
Borough FC
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)