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Black Man Warrior vs Mighty Barrolle

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
53' Event
Dayougar A.

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division 2024/2025 game between Black Man Warrior and Mighty Barrolle finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Black Man Warrior
15%
Draws
39%
Mighty Barrolle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mighty Barrolle come out ahead of Black Man Warrior on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Black Man Warrior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 20%
Mighty Barrolle Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Man Warrior Mighty Barrolle
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.78 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs Black Man Warrior
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Mighty Barrolle
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Black Man Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Dayougar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Mighty Barrolle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Man Warrior 58 / 100
Mighty Barrolle 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Man Warrior Mighty Barrolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Black Man Warrior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Barrolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Black Man Warrior stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mighty Barrolle's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Black Man Warrior VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Man Warrior

(Home)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 7

Mighty Barrolle

(Away)
20 Apr
Discoveries
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
17 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 2
Black Man Warrior
10 Apr
BEA Mountain
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
06 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
2 : 3
Global Pharma
28 Mar
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 5
Shaita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)