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Black Man Warrior vs Paynesville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Black Man Warrior and Paynesville finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paynesville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Black Man Warrior
30%
Draws
29%
Paynesville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Paynesville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Black Man Warrior are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 20%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Man Warrior Paynesville
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.06 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Paynesville
0:1
Nov 12, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Black Man Warrior
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Paynesville
4:0
Dec 5, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Black Man Warrior
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Man Warrior 58 / 100
Paynesville 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Man Warrior Paynesville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Black Man Warrior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paynesville has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Black Man Warrior stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Black Man Warrior found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Black Man Warrior VS Paynesville
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Man Warrior

(Home)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Paynesville

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)