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Black Rock vs Vermont Green

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vermont Green in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vermont Green.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Black Rock
35%
Draws
44%
Vermont Green
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Vermont Green have won more games recently than Black Rock.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Vermont Green taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vermont Green have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Black Rock Clean Sheet 10%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Rock Vermont Green
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 28
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 1.53 3.71
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Black Rock
3:1
May 27, 2026 USL League Two
Black Rock vs Vermont Green
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Black Rock
3:1
Jun 10, 2025 USL League Two
Black Rock vs Vermont Green
0:2
May 28, 2024 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Black Rock
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Rock 10 / 100
Vermont Green 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Rock Vermont Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Black Rock remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Black Rock's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vermont Green conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Black Rock VS Vermont Green
1.63 Goals Scored 4.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Rock

(Home)
11 Jul
Black Rock
1 : 1
Boston City
08 Jul
Black Rock
0 : 0
Boston Bolts
06 Jul
Black Rock
3 : 3
Seacoast United Phantoms
03 Jul
Western Pioneers
1 : 1
Black Rock
28 Jun
Seacoast United Phantoms
1 : 3
Black Rock
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Vermont Green

(Away)
01 Aug
Flint City
1 : 2
Vermont Green
27 Jul
Laredo Heat
1 : 7
Vermont Green
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
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