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Black Stars vs Thun II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 2
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AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 2 game between Black Stars and Thun II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Black Stars
35%
Draws
37%
Thun II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thun II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Black Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Black Stars Clean Sheet 16%
Thun II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Stars Thun II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Black Stars vs Thun II
2:2
May 10, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Thun II vs Black Stars
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Black Stars vs Thun II
3:4
Mar 10, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Thun II vs Black Stars
3:3
Aug 26, 2023 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Black Stars vs Thun II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Stars 31 / 100
Thun II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Stars Thun II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Black Stars found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Black Stars stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Black Stars VS Thun II
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Stars

(Home)
03 Oct
Muttenz
2 : 2
Black Stars
26 Sept
Black Stars
1 : 1
Bassecourt
18 Sept
Schotz
3 : 1
Black Stars
12 Sept
Black Stars
2 : 2
Thun II
05 Sept
Black Stars
1 : 0
Wohlen
Page 1 of 7

Thun II

(Away)
04 Oct
Bassecourt
0 : 2
Thun II
26 Sept
Thun II
1 : 5
Schotz
19 Sept
Thun II
1 : 1
Wohlen
12 Sept
Black Stars
2 : 2
Thun II
05 Sept
Thun II
4 : 1
Munsingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Langenthal 9 7 1 1 25:16 22
2 Schotz 9 5 2 2 24:14 17
3 Courtetelle 9 5 1 3 18:11 16
4 Grasshopper II 9 5 0 4 14:12 15
5 Concordia 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
6 Muttenz 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Delemont 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
8 Solothurn 9 4 1 4 22:18 13
9 Buochs 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
10 Muri-Gumligen 9 4 1 4 11:13 13
11 Thun II 9 3 3 3 17:19 12
12 Wohlen 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
13 Bassecourt 9 3 1 5 9:16 10
14 Black Stars 9 1 6 2 8:10 9
15 Zug 9 2 1 6 11:22 7
16 Munsingen 9 0 2 7 7:24 2
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)