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Blackburn vs Cardiff - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Ewood Park, Blackburn
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blackburn host Cardiff in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. Blackburn have averaged 1.15 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Cardiff's 2.04 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Blackburn slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Cardiff. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Blackburn
30%
Draws
31%
Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blackburn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff have won more games recently than Blackburn.
  • Model gives Blackburn a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 18%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackburn Cardiff
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.15 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Championship
Blackburn vs Cardiff
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Championship
Cardiff vs Blackburn
1:3
Feb 20, 2024 Championship
Cardiff vs Blackburn
0:0
Oct 21, 2023 Championship
Blackburn vs Cardiff
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 EFL Cup
Blackburn vs Cardiff
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackburn 41 / 100
Cardiff 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackburn Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Blackburn found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Blackburn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blackburn VS Cardiff
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackburn

(Home)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Lincoln City
0 : 0
Blackburn
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1
Charlton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1
Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
6 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)