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Blacks Power vs Kataka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Blacks Power Logo

Blacks Power

1 - 0
FT
Kataka Logo

Kataka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Blacks Power and Kataka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacks Power.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Blacks Power
30%
Draws
27%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blacks Power come out ahead of Kataka on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Blacks Power taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 68%
Kataka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacks Power Kataka
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Big League
Blacks Power vs Kataka
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Big League
Kataka vs Blacks Power
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Big League
Kataka vs Blacks Power
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Big League
Blacks Power vs Kataka
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Big League
Blacks Power vs Kataka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacks Power 86 / 100
Kataka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacks Power Kataka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacks Power has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Blacks Power scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kataka conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Blacks Power VS Kataka
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacks Power

(Home)
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Kataka

(Away)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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