Sport Picks
Blacktown City vs Sydney FC U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW 2023 
Match Events
39'
39'
O'Brien J.
51'
51'
Major T.
73'
73'
Campbell L.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW 2023 game between Blacktown City and Sydney FC U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacktown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney FC U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sydney FC U21 come out ahead of Blacktown City on wins alone.
- Blacktown City are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney FC U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blacktown City | Sydney FC U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 9, 2023 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Sydney FC U21
3:0
Mar 24, 2023 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U21 vs Blacktown City
1:0
Jul 3, 2022 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U21 vs Blacktown City
2:2
Apr 17, 2022 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs Sydney FC U21
4:2
Jul 11, 2021 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U21 vs Blacktown City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Brien J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Major T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Sydney FC U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blacktown City 67 / 100
Sydney FC U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blacktown City Sydney FC U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Blacktown City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sydney FC U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Blacktown City scored in 71% of their last 34 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Blacktown City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Blacktown City VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Blacktown City
(Home) 30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
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30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0 Sydney Utd
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Sydney FC U21
(Away) 27 Aug
Sydney FC U21
3 : 2 Sutherland Sharks
18 Aug
Sydney FC U21
2 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
13 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 Sydney FC U21
06 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1 Sydney FC U21
28 Jul
Sydney FC U21
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 Sydney FC U21
06 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1 Sydney FC U21
23 Jul
Wollongong
6 : 2 Sydney FC U21
15 Jul
St. George City
3 : 4 Sydney FC U21
09 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 Sydney FC U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 64:35 | 65 |
| 2 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 60:45 | 59 |
| 3 | Blacktown City | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58:32 | 57 |
| 4 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 64:35 | 56 |
| 5 | St. George City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 62:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 49:52 | 46 |
| 7 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 57:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 9 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 51:53 | 39 |
| 10 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:48 | 39 |
| 11 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 40:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Central Coast U21 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:57 | 33 |
| 13 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 52:61 | 31 |
| 14 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 21:35 | 31 |
| 15 | Western City Rangers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 31:61 | 23 |
| 16 | Bulls Academy | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24:65 | 15 |
Relegation - NPL NSW 2023 (Relegation)
