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Blacktown Spartans vs Hills United

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kyra A.
45'
Wood R.
56' Event
Kanai Y.

AI Match Summary

Blacktown Spartans in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown Spartans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blacktown Spartans
6%
Draws
4%
Hills United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hills United haven't matched Blacktown Spartans's recent run of results.
  • Blacktown Spartans are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 11%
Hills United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown Spartans Hills United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 3 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Blacktown Spartans
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Hills United
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Blacktown Spartans
2:3
May 16, 2025 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Hills United
2:1
Jul 29, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Blacktown Spartans
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacktown Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyra A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chapple R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Hills United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanai Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown Spartans 83 / 100
Hills United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown Spartans Hills United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown Spartans found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Hills United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Blacktown Spartans remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown Spartans VS Hills United
3 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans23155358:3050
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
4Canterbury Bankstown FC23125656:3741
5Bankstown City Lions FC23124740:3740
6Rydalmere Lions2397733:3434
7Bulls Academy231031044:3433
8Hills United2396840:3833
9Hakoah Sydney2379740:3830
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions23741229:4225
13Newcastle Jets U2323581043:5223
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Prospect United242121023:4318
16Western City Rangers23441526:4616