Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blarney Utd vs Derry City

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hale R.
7' Event
McEneff A.
8' Event
Roy A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-12, with Derry City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Blarney Utd
30%
Draws
51%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Blarney Utd haven't matched Derry City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Derry City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Derry City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Derry City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Blarney Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blarney Utd Derry City
Matches Played 9 33
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.56 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2018 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
2:12
Jun 1, 2013 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
0:4
May 27, 2006 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blarney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carroll T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Roy A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Hale R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blarney Utd 10 / 100
Derry City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blarney Utd Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.33 goals.

Blarney Utd scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Derry City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Blarney Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derry City
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blarney Utd

(Home)
11 Aug
Blarney Utd
2 : 12
Derry City
01 Jun
Blarney Utd
0 : 4
Derry City
06 Apr
Blarney Utd
2 : 1
Parkvilla
30 Mar
Parkvilla
1 : 1
Blarney Utd
25 May
Blarney Utd
1 : 4
Malahide United
Page 1 of 2

Derry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Newmarket Celtic -
Cockhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Waterford -
TBD -
Kilnamanagh 1
Skerries Town 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
CIE Ranch 1
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Firhouse 2
Dublin Bus 4
Pike Rovers 2
Avondale United 0
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Home Farm -
Leeds Cork 3
St. Michaels 1
Everton AFC 2
Maynooth University 3
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blarney Utd -
Inchicore Athletic FC 2
Crumlin Utd 1
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Galway United -
TBD -
Cherry Orchard 0
North End United 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bray 1
Finn Harps 3
Cabinteely 2
Newmarket Celtic 1
Cockhill 0
Limerick 2
Waterford 4
Skerries Town 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
CIE Ranch 1
Dublin Bus 0
Pike Rovers 0
UC Dublin 2
Cork City 5
Home Farm 1
Leeds Cork 0
Maynooth University 2
Shelbourne 4
Athlone 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Longford 1
Derry City 12
Blarney Utd 2
Inchicore Athletic FC 0
St. Patricks 5
Galway United 4
North End United 0
Wexford 0
Bohemians 7
1/8-finals
Dundalk 2
Finn Harps 0
Cabinteely 1
Limerick 2
Waterford 1
Drogheda 0
CIE Ranch 2
UC Dublin 6
Cork City 4
Maynooth University 0
Shelbourne 0
Longford 2
Derry City 1
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 0
Bohemians 2
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Limerick 0
Waterford 1
UC Dublin 2
Cork City 7
Longford 0
Derry City 1
Bohemians 3
Semi-finals
Dundalk 1
UC Dublin 0
Cork City 3
Bohemians 2
Final
Dundalk 2
Cork City 1