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Blarney Utd vs Derry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Blarney Utd Logo

Blarney Utd

0 - 4
FT
Derry City Logo

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Patterson R.
86' Event
Curran R.
87' Event
Patterson R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Derry City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Blarney Utd
30%
Draws
51%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derry City come out ahead of Blarney Utd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Derry City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Derry City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Derry City have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Blarney Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blarney Utd Derry City
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.11 2
Goals Conceded 3.56 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2018 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
2:12
Jun 1, 2013 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
0:4
May 27, 2006 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blarney Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Patterson R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Curran R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blarney Utd 10 / 100
Derry City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blarney Utd Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.33 goals.

Blarney Utd found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).

Defensive concern: Derry City conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Blarney Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derry City
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blarney Utd

(Home)
11 Aug
Blarney Utd
2 : 12
Derry City
01 Jun
Blarney Utd
0 : 4
Derry City
06 Apr
Blarney Utd
2 : 1
Parkvilla
30 Mar
Parkvilla
1 : 1
Blarney Utd
25 May
Blarney Utd
1 : 4
Malahide United
Page 1 of 2

Derry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3