Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019

Blauw Geel

1 - 0

HBS Craeyenhout

Our Tip

Match Events

52'

Beissel T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2018/2019 game between Blauw Geel and HBS Craeyenhout finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blauw Geel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Blauw Geel

44%

Draws

20%

HBS Craeyenhout

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Blauw Geel carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 17%

HBS Craeyenhout Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Blauw Geel	HBS Craeyenhout
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	7
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Derde Divisie

Blauw Geel vs HBS Craeyenhout

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Oct 14, 2018 Derde Divisie

HBS Craeyenhout vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Apr 8, 2018 Derde Divisie

HBS Craeyenhout vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Nov 19, 2017 Derde Divisie

Blauw Geel vs HBS Craeyenhout

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blauw Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer Beissel T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

HBS Craeyenhout Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blauw Geel 36 / 100

HBS Craeyenhout 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Blauw Geel HBS Craeyenhout

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: HBS Craeyenhout conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Blauw Geel's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Blauw Geel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blauw Geel VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Noordwijk	34	25	5	4	94:41	80
2	Quick Boys	34	22	6	6	84:40	72
3	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	21	5	8	102:47	68
4	HSV Hoek	34	19	7	8	82:55	64
5	Groningen U21	34	17	7	10	66:39	58
6	Harkemase Boys	34	17	6	11	68:59	57
7	ASWH	34	16	7	11	74:54	55
8	SteDoCo	34	17	4	13	65:56	55
9	ODIN '59	34	17	3	14	71:66	54
10	Lisse	34	16	3	15	62:64	51
11	VV DOVO	34	14	6	14	76:66	48
12	Ajax (Am)	34	12	5	17	52:61	41
13	ONS Sneek	34	12	3	19	57:58	39
14	VVOG	34	9	8	17	41:72	35
15	Eemdijk	34	9	2	23	51:87	29
16	SJC Noordwijk	34	8	2	24	50:105	26
17	De Dijk	34	4	7	23	49:111	19
18	Achilles 29	34	4	8	22	44:107	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jong Volendam	34	22	5	7	97:44	71
2	TEC	34	21	7	6	63:38	70
3	OFC Oostzaan	34	18	8	8	79:43	62
4	GOES	34	20	1	13	80:55	61
5	UNA	34	17	5	12	68:55	56
6	FC OSS '20	34	16	6	12	70:53	54
7	HV & CV Quick	34	15	5	14	67:66	50
8	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	13	8	13	59:57	47
9	Westlandia	34	14	4	16	59:73	46
10	Dongen	34	14	3	17	51:70	45
11	USV Hercules	34	12	8	14	55:63	44
12	HSC '21	34	14	2	18	51:73	44
13	Blauw Geel	34	12	7	15	62:65	43
14	EVV	34	11	9	14	39:43	41
15	JVC '31 Cuijk	34	12	3	19	43:77	39
16	OJC Rosmalen	34	10	5	19	49:61	35
17	KVV Quick 20	34	8	7	19	53:84	31
18	HBS Craeyenhout	34	7	7	20	37:62	28