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Blauw Geel vs Meerssen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Blauw Geel and Meerssen finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Meerssen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Blauw Geel
30%
Draws
39%
Meerssen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Meerssen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Blauw Geel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Blauw Geel a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%
Meerssen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blauw Geel Meerssen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs Meerssen
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs Blauw Geel
2:4
Apr 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs Meerssen
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs Blauw Geel
3:1
Mar 3, 2024 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs Meerssen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blauw Geel 65 / 100
Meerssen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blauw Geel Meerssen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meerssen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Blauw Geel's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Blauw Geel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blauw Geel VS Meerssen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.67
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Blauw Geel

(Home)
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1
UNA
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
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Meerssen

(Away)
07 Jul
Meerssen
2 : 1
Maastricht
23 May
UNA
1 : 2
Meerssen
16 May
Meerssen
1 : 1
Rijnvogels
10 May
GOES
3 : 4
Meerssen
25 Apr
Meerssen
0 : 2
VVSB
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)