Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Blauw Geel and TOGB finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blauw Geel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- TOGB carry the better recent record into this one.
- Blauw Geel are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 15%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blauw Geel | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs TOGB
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Blauw Geel
2:1
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs TOGB
3:3
Dec 15, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Blauw Geel
2:2
May 25, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Blauw Geel
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blauw Geel 35 / 100
TOGB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blauw Geel TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOGB let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Blauw Geel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Blauw Geel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Blauw Geel VS TOGB
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Blauw Geel
(Home) 12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2 GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
29 Aug
Achilles Veen
3 : 2 Blauw Geel
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2 GOES
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0 Rijnvogels
16 May
Blauw Geel
3 : 2 SVV Scheveningen
26 Apr
Blauw Geel
0 : 2 UNA
12 Apr
Blauw Geel
4 : 0 GOES
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TOGB
(Away) 12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
