Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blo Weiss Medernach vs Ettelbruck

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ettelbruck in this Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Blo Weiss Medernach
15%
Draws
59%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ettelbruck have won more games recently than Blo Weiss Medernach.
  • Model gives Ettelbruck a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Ettelbruck arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ettelbruck, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Blo Weiss Medernach Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blo Weiss Medernach Ettelbruck
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Blo Weiss Medernach vs Ettelbruck
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blo Weiss Medernach 26 / 100
Ettelbruck 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blo Weiss Medernach Ettelbruck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Blo Weiss Medernach scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Ettelbruck let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Blo Weiss Medernach went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blo Weiss Medernach VS Ettelbruck
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Blo Weiss Medernach

(Home)
21 Sept
Blo Weiss Medernach
1 : 2
Jeunesse Esch
05 Oct
Blo Weiss Medernach
0 : 4
UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
04 Feb
Blo Weiss Medernach
2 : 1
FC 47 Bastendorf
30 Oct
Blo Weiss Medernach
1 : 4
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Ettelbruck

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1
Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fola 7
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
US Sandweiler 5
Progres Niedercorn 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
FC Munsbach 0
Hostert 6
Luxembourg City 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Kaerjeng 4
Mondorf 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Victoria Rosport 4
Ettelbruck 4
Steinfort 1
Gasperich 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Kehlen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 1
Erpeldange 1
Rumelange 6
Lorentzweiler 4
Bissen 3
FC Mamer 0
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 2
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Racing Luxembourg 8
Esch 13
Biekerech 1
AS Colmar-Berg 0
UNA Strassen 5
US Feulen 4
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
AS Wincrange 0
Hesperange 6
Mondercange 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
Lintgen 4
AS Hosingen 4
Jeunesse Biwer 3
Diekirch 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 5
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Cebra 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Jeunesse Canach 3
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
Luna Oberkorn 0
Avenir Beggen 0
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Union Tetange 2
Schifflange 1
Dudelange 7
1/16-finals
Fola 1
US Sandweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Hostert 2
Luxembourg City 1
Kaerjeng 0
Mondorf 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Ettelbruck 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Kehlen 0
Rumelange 2
Lorentzweiler 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 1
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 4
UNA Strassen 2
US Feulen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondercange 3
Lintgen 2
AS Hosingen 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Differdange 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Union Titus Petange 0
Dudelange 6
1/8-finals
Fola 5
Hostert 3
Luxembourg City 1
Victoria Rosport 5
Ettelbruck 2
Rumelange 1
Lorentzweiler 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 2
Hesperange 1
Mondercange 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Wiltz 0
Dudelange 5
Quarter-finals
Fola 2
Victoria Rosport 0
Ettelbruck 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Esch 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Differdange 0
Dudelange 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Racing Luxembourg 0
Esch 0
Dudelange 3
Final
Fola 1
Dudelange 4