Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blonianka Blonie vs Concordia Elblag

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Goral M.
22' Event
Smiecinski S.
28' Event
Goral M.

AI Match Summary

Blonianka Blonie in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blonianka Blonie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Blonianka Blonie
22%
Draws
18%
Concordia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Blonianka Blonie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concordia Elblag lately — more wins on the board than Blonianka Blonie.
  • Model gives Blonianka Blonie a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Blonianka Blonie Clean Sheet 12%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blonianka Blonie Concordia Elblag
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.33 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Concordia Elblag
4:2
Mar 29, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Blonianka Blonie
0:0
Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Blonianka Blonie
0:3
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Concordia Elblag
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blonianka Blonie Compare

Top Goalscorer Smiecinski S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koterwas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Goral M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blonianka Blonie 56 / 100
Concordia Elblag 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blonianka Blonie Concordia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Blonianka Blonie's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Concordia Elblag's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Blonianka Blonie VS Concordia Elblag
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
2.33 Goals Conceded 4.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Blonianka Blonie

(Home)
11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
12 Feb
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
27 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
29 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
19 Jul
Blonianka Blonie
1 : 3
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Concordia Elblag

(Away)
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2
Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1
Concordia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LKS Lodz II34208676:4168
2Legionowo341810671:4364
3Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki341810662:3964
4Swit Mazowiecki34187966:4561
5Legia II341510966:4855
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341510951:4355
7Unia Skierniewice341581141:3853
8MKS Mlawa341571283:7152
9Jagiellonia II3413101165:5449
10Pilica Bialobrzegi341291353:5545
11Pelikan341291356:5245
12Sokol Ostroda341061849:7136
13Olimpia Zambrow34991640:6336
14Bron Radom34981760:7635
15Warta Sieradz348101639:5334
16Concordia Elblag34891738:6133
17Blonianka Blonie34862035:6830
18Ursus Warszawa345101942:7225
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)