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Blue Boys Muhlenbach vs Esch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Esch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
20%
Draws
60%
Esch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Esch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Blue Boys Muhlenbach taking it.
  • Esch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Blue Boys Muhlenbach Clean Sheet 18%
Esch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blue Boys Muhlenbach Esch
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Blue Boys Muhlenbach vs Esch
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blue Boys Muhlenbach 85 / 100
Esch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blue Boys Muhlenbach Esch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blue Boys Muhlenbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Esch lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Blue Boys Muhlenbach found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (22 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Blue Boys Muhlenbach VS Esch
0.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.43
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Blue Boys Muhlenbach

(Home)
08 Mar
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
1 : 1
Mondorf
04 Mar
Fola
4 : 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
01 Mar
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
0 : 3
FC Rodange 91
23 Feb
Victoria Rosport
2 : 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
16 Feb
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
2 : 2
Racing Luxembourg
Page 1 of 5

Esch

(Away)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1