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Blue Boys Muhlenbach vs Progres Niedercorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

National Division 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blue Boys Muhlenbach host Progres Niedercorn in the National Division 2019/2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Blue Boys Muhlenbach have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Progres Niedercorn's 1.83 scored and 1.51 conceded. Past meetings favor Progres Niedercorn slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.17 - 1.05) back Progres Niedercorn to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
30%
Draws
58%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Progres Niedercorn have won more games recently than Blue Boys Muhlenbach.
  • Model gives Progres Niedercorn a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Progres Niedercorn here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Blue Boys Muhlenbach Clean Sheet 20%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blue Boys Muhlenbach Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 21 41
Wins 4 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 BGL Ligue
Blue Boys Muhlenbach vs Progres Niedercorn
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Blue Boys Muhlenbach
5:2
Apr 3, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
Blue Boys Muhlenbach vs Progres Niedercorn
0:3
Sep 18, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Blue Boys Muhlenbach vs Progres Niedercorn
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blue Boys Muhlenbach 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blue Boys Muhlenbach Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Blue Boys Muhlenbach scored in 57% of their last 21 games.

Blue Boys Muhlenbach has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Progres Niedercorn
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Blue Boys Muhlenbach

(Home)
08 Mar
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
1 : 1
Mondorf
04 Mar
Fola
4 : 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
01 Mar
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
0 : 3
FC Rodange 91
23 Feb
Victoria Rosport
2 : 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
16 Feb
Blue Boys Muhlenbach
2 : 2
Racing Luxembourg
Page 1 of 5

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fola 17 12 3 2 41:17 39
2 Progres Niedercorn 17 11 4 2 43:17 37
3 Differdange 17 11 2 4 36:25 35
4 Union Titus Petange 17 10 3 4 34:23 33
5 Dudelange 17 8 2 7 38:24 26
6 UNA Strassen 17 7 5 5 30:26 26
7 Racing Luxembourg 17 6 7 4 32:27 25
8 Jeunesse Esch 17 5 4 8 24:34 19
9 Victoria Rosport 17 5 3 9 23:35 18
10 Ettelbruck 17 5 2 10 22:34 17
11 Hostert 17 5 1 11 17:37 16
12 Mondorf 17 3 6 8 22:28 15
13 FC Rodange 91 17 4 3 10 21:37 15
14 Blue Boys Muhlenbach 17 3 3 11 20:39 12
Promotion - Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - National Division 2019/2020 (Relegation)