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Blue Star vs Renown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Blue Star Logo

Blue Star

2 - 3
FT
Renown Logo

Renown

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
17' Event
19' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Renown in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Blue Star
20%
Draws
29%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blue Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Blue Star haven't matched Renown's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Blue Star a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Blue Star Clean Sheet 10%
Renown Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blue Star Renown
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.7 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Blue Star vs Renown
2:3
Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Renown vs Blue Star
0:0
Jan 13, 2019 Super League
Blue Star vs Renown
1:0
Nov 19, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Blue Star
4:0
Sep 3, 2016 Super League
Renown vs Blue Star
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blue Star 47 / 100
Renown 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blue Star Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blue Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blue Star's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Renown conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Blue Star stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blue Star VS Renown
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blue Star

(Home)
14 Sept
Ratnam SC
1 : 3
Blue Star
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
18 Aug
New Young's SC
0 : 5
Blue Star
Page 1 of 6

Renown

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UP Country Lions 9 9 0 0 35:3 27
2 Sea Hawks 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Colombo 9 4 4 1 14:5 16
4 Renown 9 4 3 2 21:8 15
5 Red Star 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Blue Star 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
7 Blue Eagles 9 3 1 5 8:12 10
8 Defenders FC 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 New Young's SC 9 1 2 6 7:36 5
10 Ratnam SC 9 0 0 9 5:35 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)