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Blumenau vs Brasil de Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Josue
25'
27' Event
Iury Tanque
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Serie D matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Blumenau
44%
Draws
20%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Brasil de Pelotas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 18%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie D
Brasil de Pelotas vs Blumenau
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D
Blumenau vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellisson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Josue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Iury Tanque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 36 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Brasil de Pelotas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara1064013:522
2Nacional-AM (Manaus)1062215:920
3Sao Raimundo RR1034310:713
4Monte Roraima1024411:1410
5Manaus FC102448:1310
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio101278:175
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guapore1064019:922
2Porto Velho1053233:918
3Araguaina1053231:918
4Independencia Futebol Clube1043317:1015
5Galvez1031614:3110
6SC Humaita1000104:500
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama1082023:626
2Luverdense1043311:1015
3Brasiliense1035211:1014
4Aparecidense1034313:1213
5Primavera AC1033410:1312
6Inhumas100193:201
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital1072116:623
2Goiatuba EC1054113:719
3Ceilandia103349:1012
4Mixto1026210:912
5Uniao Rondonopolis1023511:189
6Operario VG101277:165
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trem1062219:1320
2Aguia De Maraba1053220:1118
3Imperatriz1043315:1015
4Tuna Luso1034314:1713
5Tocantinopolis1033418:1812
6Oratorio1011812:294
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iguatu1055014:720
2Maracana1054112:619
3Parnahyba1042411:1314
4Sampaio Correa1034312:613
5Moto Club102358:159
6IAPE1004610:204
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario1063115:721
2Piaui1052314:1117
3Fluminense-PI1035212:914
4AE Altos103259:1511
5Tirol1024410:1010
6Atletico Cearense101456:147
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ABC1072115:623
2America RN1063114:321
3Maguary103438:513
4Central SC103438:713
5Sousa103164:1110
6Laguna RN100283:202
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treze PB1052318:1417
2Sergipe1043315:1315
3Serra Branca1036112:815
4Lagarto1034314:1513
5Retro1033413:1512
6Decisao1022610:178
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA1063125:821
2Juazeirense1052312:917
3ASA1044211:716
4Jacuipense1034312:1413
5Clube Sociedade Esportiva1023510:179
6Alagoinhas101275:205
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberlandia1053212:818
2Betim FC1043312:915
3CRAC103437:713
4Ivinhema103439:1213
5ABECAT Ouvidorense103348:912
6Operario MS102359:129
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Democrata GV1052313:917
2Tombense1045113:617
3Vitoria ES1043312:815
4Rio Branco ES1034314:1213
5Porto-BA103169:2110
6Real Noroeste101546:118
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa1063116:621
2Agua Santa1052316:817
3Portuguesa RJ1035214:914
4America RJ1033411:2112
5Madureira1032511:1611
6Pouso Alegre102176:147
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piracicaba1045114:917
2Noroeste1043312:715
3Velo Clube1034310:1013
4Sampaio Correa FE103348:1012
5Nova Iguacu103347:1012
6Marica103259:1411
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Catarina1061315:919
2Cianorte105149:816
3FC Cascavel104339:415
4Sao Luiz1043311:915
5Joinville1043310:815
6Guarany de Bage101182:184
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blumenau1061314:819
2Marcilio Dias104429:516
3Sao Joseense103433:413
4EC Sao Jose (PA)103436:813
5Brasil de Pelotas102449:1210
6Azuriz102357:119
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)