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Blumenau vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Blumenau
20%
Draws
51%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Blumenau's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Fluminense-SC have produced (1.26).
  • Model gives Blumenau a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Blumenau
1:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Fluminense-SC
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Blumenau
1:1
Oct 24, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Blumenau
3:0
Sep 22, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Fluminense-SC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 58 / 100
Fluminense-SC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blumenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Fluminense-SC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Figueirense 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Joinville 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
4 Fluminense-SC 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
5 CA Metropolitano 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
6 Blumenau 10 0 3 7 6:28 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 10 8 1 1 20:6 25
2 Tubarao 10 5 5 0 13:4 20
3 Marcilio Dias 10 5 3 2 19:6 18
4 Almirante Barroso 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
5 Inter de Lages 10 2 1 7 12:13 7
6 Operario Mafra 10 0 0 10 4:41 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)