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Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Felipe Mello
49'
Felipe Mello
69' Event
Thiago Medeiros

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Blumenau
28%
Draws
50%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Juventus's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 36 21
Wins 20 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
1:1
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Blumenau
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
0:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Gremio Juventus vs Blumenau
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Medeiros
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 24 / 100
Gremio Juventus 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Gremio Juventus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Gremio Juventus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Gremio Juventus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Gremio Juventus
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571