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Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Felipe Mello
49'
Felipe Mello
69' Event
Thiago Medeiros

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Blumenau
28%
Draws
50%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Juventus's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
1:1
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Blumenau
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
0:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Gremio Juventus vs Blumenau
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Medeiros
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 23 / 100
Gremio Juventus 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Gremio Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Gremio Juventus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 20 matches.

Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Gremio Juventus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
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Gremio Juventus

(Away)
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz16122233:938
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1684432:1328
5Tubarao1665522:1723
6Fluminense-SC1653814:2118
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Gremio Juventus1652916:2117
9Guarani de Palhoca1645715:2417
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)