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Blumenau vs Jaragua-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019
Sun, Aug 18, 2019
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blumenau host Jaragua-SC in the Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019. Blumenau are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Blumenau at 1.47 goals for, 1.03 against; Jaragua-SC at 0.54 for, 3.18 against. Past meetings favor Blumenau slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Blumenau. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Blumenau
20%
Draws
0%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blumenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Blumenau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.47 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Blumenau
0:3
Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Jaragua-SC
6:0
Aug 18, 2019 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Jaragua-SC
0:0
Jul 7, 2019 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Blumenau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blumenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua-SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Blumenau's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jaragua-SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Jaragua-SC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.43
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 16 9 4 3 25:14 31
2 Almirante Barroso 16 9 4 3 24:13 31
3 Jaragua-SC 16 9 3 4 20:16 30
4 Inter de Lages 16 6 3 7 20:22 21
5 Camboriu 16 5 5 6 21:22 20
6 Fluminense de Joinville 16 5 4 7 21:20 19
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 7 6 17:20 16
8 Guarani de Palhoca 16 4 3 9 12:21 15
9 Prospera Criciuma 16 2 7 7 9:21 13
10 Blumenau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 (Play Offs)