Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blumenau vs Nacao

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blumenau host Nacao in the Catarinense 2. Blumenau are expected to control this from the start. Nacao have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Blumenau have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Blumenau have won 3 to Nacao's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2026, ending 0:6. xG projections (1.19 - 0.94) back Blumenau to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Blumenau
39%
Draws
31%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blumenau come out ahead of Nacao on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 20%
Nacao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Nacao
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 21 4
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:6
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Nacao
5:1
Sep 23, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
2:2
Jun 12, 2022 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 31 / 100
Nacao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Blumenau scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Blumenau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nacao conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Nacao
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571