Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blumenau vs Nacao

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Blumenau Logo

Blumenau

0 - 2
FT
Nacao Logo

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gustavo Modesto
24' Event
Gustavo Modesto
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Blumenau and Nacao finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Blumenau
30%
Draws
39%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blumenau come out ahead of Nacao on wins alone.
  • Blumenau are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 20%
Nacao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Nacao
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.66 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
0:2
Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:6
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Nacao
5:1
Sep 23, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Nacao vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Nacao
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Modesto
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 36 / 100
Nacao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Nacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Blumenau scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Nacao let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Blumenau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Nacao
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

Nacao

(Away)
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)